S&P GSCI Gold Spot Index GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis
High-persistence model: shocks decay very slowly, so the theoretical long-run value may not be practically meaningful
Volatility prediction for Wednesday, June 10th, 2026
1 Day
23.12%
decreased by 0.04%
1 Week
23.14%
decreased by 0.02%
1 Month
23.25%
increased by 0.09%
Analysis last updated: Tuesday, June 9, 2026 at 11:11 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
| param | t-stat | |
|---|---|---|
| 0.0024 | 10.08 | |
| 0.0556 | 17.60 | |
| 0.9605 | 488.08 | |
| -0.0324 | -9.13 |
Estimation Period:
Jan 2, 1990 to Jun 5, 2026
Jan 2, 1990 to Jun 5, 2026
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