Russell 2000 Index Zero Slope Spline-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility Prediction for Monday, February 9th, 2026:27.22% (+6.39%)
Parameter Estimates
| param | t-stat | |
|---|---|---|
| 0.6648 | 6.08 | |
| 0.1085 | 10.07 | |
| 0.8459 | 64.33 | |
| 0.0018 | 0.06 | |
| 0.0542 | 1.12 | |
| -0.1207 | -3.78 | |
| 0.1070 | 4.31 | |
| -0.0921 | -4.02 | |
| 0.0845 | 3.38 | |
| -0.0271 | -1.15 | |
| -0.0220 | -1.34 |
Estimation Period:
Jan 1, 1990 to Feb 6, 2026
Jan 1, 1990 to Feb 6, 2026
News Impact Curve
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