S&P/ASX 200 Spline-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility Prediction for Monday, February 9th, 2026:14.56% (+3.60%)
Parameter Estimates
| param | t-stat | |
|---|---|---|
| 0.8965 | 8.00 | |
| 0.0977 | 8.63 | |
| 0.8626 | 64.21 | |
| 0.0156 | 0.69 | |
| -0.0570 | -1.68 | |
| 0.1138 | 5.17 | |
| -0.1449 | -6.82 | |
| 0.1064 | 4.42 | |
| -0.0293 | -1.24 | |
| -0.0395 | -1.22 |
Estimation Period:
May 29, 1992 to Feb 6, 2026
May 29, 1992 to Feb 6, 2026
News Impact Curve
Volatility Forecasts
Other Spline-GARCH Analyses on Equity Indices