State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust Zero Slope Spline-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility Prediction for Monday, February 9th, 2026:16.21% (+2.95%)
Parameter Estimates
| param | t-stat | |
|---|---|---|
| 0.7201 | 4.61 | |
| 0.1124 | 9.80 | |
| 0.8510 | 63.63 | |
| 0.0638 | 1.95 | |
| -0.1561 | -3.45 | |
| 0.1716 | 6.75 | |
| -0.1417 | -5.56 | |
| 0.0985 | 3.17 | |
| -0.0355 | -1.18 | |
| -0.0081 | -0.38 |
Estimation Period:
Jan 29, 1993 to Feb 6, 2026
Jan 29, 1993 to Feb 6, 2026
News Impact Curve
Volatility Forecasts
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