V-Lab: Bloomberg US Government/Credit Bond Index Total Return Value Unhedged USD APARCH Volatility Analysis

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V-Lab

Bloomberg US Government/Credit Bond Index Total Return Value Unhedged USD APARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility Prediction for Friday, April 26th, 2024:5.31% (-0.02%)

Analysis last updated: Saturday, April 27, 2024 at 05:26 AM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

Parameter Estimates

	param	t-stat
$ω$	0.0008	11.64
$α$	0.0412	29.70
$β$	0.9532	615.35
$γ$	0.0079	0.54
$δ$	1.8539	32.85

Estimation Period:
Jan 1, 1990 to Sep 29, 2023

News Impact Curve

Impact of return on volatility tomorrow

Volatility Forecasts

Volatility Forecasts

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