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	param	t-stat
$ω$	0.0004	10.76
$α$	0.0375	31.30
$β$	0.9574	747.98
$γ$	-0.0328	-4.65

V-Lab

Bloomberg US Treasury Bond Index Total Return Value Unhedged USD AGARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility Prediction for Friday, February 13th, 2026:7.97% (+4.80%)

Date Range:

Parameter Estimates

News Impact Curve

Volatility Forecasts

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