First HoldCo Plc Zero Slope Spline-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility Prediction for Friday, February 20th, 2026:60.25% (+21.17%)
Parameter Estimates
| param | t-stat | |
|---|---|---|
| 0.9739 | 4.70 | |
| 0.2132 | 7.19 | |
| 0.7010 | 20.53 | |
| -0.0919 | -0.80 | |
| 0.1753 | 1.04 | |
| -0.1087 | -1.02 | |
| -0.0481 | -0.48 | |
| 0.2021 | 2.19 | |
| -0.1962 | -2.99 |
Estimation Period:
Sep 8, 2009 to Feb 13, 2026
Sep 8, 2009 to Feb 13, 2026
News Impact Curve
Volatility Forecasts
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