ICE BofA AAA-A Emerging Markets Corporate Plus Index Spline-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility Prediction for Thursday, February 19th, 2026:1.88% (-0.05%)
Parameter Estimates
| param | t-stat | |
|---|---|---|
| 1.5534 | 6.05 | |
| 0.0663 | 5.65 | |
| 0.8846 | 57.26 | |
| 0.0787 | 1.33 | |
| -0.1643 | -1.96 | |
| 0.2428 | 4.80 | |
| -0.3557 | -6.98 | |
| 0.3265 | 5.76 | |
| -0.1944 | -3.54 | |
| 0.1771 | 3.40 | |
| -0.1336 | -2.54 | |
| -0.1962 | -2.61 |
Estimation Period:
Jan 1, 1999 to Feb 6, 2026
Jan 1, 1999 to Feb 6, 2026
News Impact Curve
Volatility Forecasts
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