Invesco DB Commodity Index Tracking Fund Spline-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility Prediction for Monday, February 23rd, 2026:22.69% (-0.75%)
Parameter Estimates
| param | t-stat | |
|---|---|---|
| 0.9889 | 6.53 | |
| 0.0664 | 6.37 | |
| 0.9156 | 72.94 | |
| -0.0393 | -2.20 | |
| 0.0807 | 2.83 | |
| -0.0900 | -3.01 |
Estimation Period:
Feb 3, 2006 to Feb 20, 2026
Feb 3, 2006 to Feb 20, 2026
News Impact Curve
Volatility Forecasts
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