S&P GSCI Crude Oil Index Spline-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility Prediction for Friday, February 20th, 2026:35.47% (-0.37%)
Parameter Estimates
| param | t-stat | |
|---|---|---|
| 0.9046 | 4.72 | |
| 0.0812 | 8.27 | |
| 0.8977 | 86.06 | |
| 0.0309 | 2.45 | |
| -0.0538 | -2.99 | |
| 0.0265 | 2.22 | |
| 0.0133 | 1.10 | |
| -0.0513 | -2.50 |
Estimation Period:
Jan 2, 1990 to Feb 13, 2026
Jan 2, 1990 to Feb 13, 2026
News Impact Curve
Volatility Forecasts
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