BAE Systems PLC Spline-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility Prediction for Wednesday, February 25th, 2026:33.23% (-1.75%)
Parameter Estimates
| param | t-stat | |
|---|---|---|
| 0.6572 | 5.61 | |
| 0.1138 | 8.36 | |
| 0.8294 | 46.44 | |
| -0.1353 | -3.76 | |
| 0.2365 | 4.60 | |
| -0.1939 | -6.81 | |
| 0.1482 | 6.11 | |
| -0.0920 | -4.25 | |
| 0.0692 | 2.90 | |
| -0.0477 | -1.55 | |
| 0.0639 | 1.33 |
Estimation Period:
Jan 1, 1990 to Feb 20, 2026
Jan 1, 1990 to Feb 20, 2026
News Impact Curve
Volatility Forecasts
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