iShares MBS ETF AGARCH Volatility Analysis
High-persistence model: shocks decay very slowly, so the theoretical long-run value may not be practically meaningful
Volatility prediction for Wednesday, June 10th, 2026
1 Day
6.08%
increased by 0.57%
1 Week
6.20%
increased by 0.69%
1 Month
6.72%
increased by 1.21%
Analysis last updated: Tuesday, June 9, 2026 at 09:18 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
| param | t-stat | |
|---|---|---|
| 0.0002 | 3.64 | |
| 0.1394 | 19.59 | |
| 0.8775 | 197.29 | |
| 0.0423 | 8.67 |
Estimation Period:
Mar 16, 2007 to Jun 5, 2026
Mar 16, 2007 to Jun 5, 2026
Other iShares MBS ETF Analyses
Other AGARCH Analyses on ETFs