Empire Petroleum Corp GARCH Volatility Analysis
High-persistence model: shocks decay very slowly, so the theoretical long-run value may not be practically meaningful
Volatility prediction for Wednesday, June 10th, 2026
1 Day
91.89%
decreased by 2.59%
1 Week
92.99%
decreased by 1.49%
1 Month
97.27%
increased by 2.79%
Analysis last updated: Tuesday, June 9, 2026 at 09:48 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
| param | t-stat | |
|---|---|---|
| 0.4041 | 9.20 | |
| 0.0750 | 23.49 | |
| 0.9250 | 336.11 |
Estimation Period:
Apr 25, 2003 to Jun 5, 2026
Apr 25, 2003 to Jun 5, 2026
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