South African Rand APARCH Volatility Analysis
High-persistence model: shocks decay very slowly, so the theoretical long-run value may not be practically meaningful
Volatility prediction for Tuesday, June 9th, 2026
1 Day
15.27%
decreased by 0.46%
1 Week
15.29%
decreased by 0.44%
1 Month
15.39%
decreased by 0.34%
Analysis last updated: Monday, June 8, 2026 at 07:14 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
| param | t-stat | |
|---|---|---|
| 0.0016 | 13.96 | |
| 0.0588 | 33.14 | |
| 0.9384 | 463.16 | |
| -0.1433 | -12.89 | |
| 2.0681 | 29.36 |
Estimation Period:
Jan 2, 1990 to Jun 5, 2026
Jan 2, 1990 to Jun 5, 2026
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