iShares 0-1 Year Treasury Bond ETF Spline-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility Prediction for Wednesday, February 18th, 2026:0.81% (-0.01%)
Parameter Estimates
| param | t-stat | |
|---|---|---|
| 1.3311 | 6.54 | |
| 0.1064 | 5.77 | |
| 0.7756 | 20.00 | |
| -0.4281 | -2.44 | |
| 0.5159 | 2.15 | |
| -0.1753 | -1.20 | |
| 0.4593 | 3.03 | |
| -0.5307 | -3.78 | |
| 0.2163 | 1.47 | |
| -0.4567 | -2.65 | |
| 1.1753 | 7.28 | |
| -1.3278 | -6.97 | |
| 1.0362 | 2.88 |
Estimation Period:
Jan 11, 2007 to Feb 13, 2026
Jan 11, 2007 to Feb 13, 2026
News Impact Curve
Volatility Forecasts
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