iShares 0-1 Year Treasury Bond ETF GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis
High-persistence model: shocks decay very slowly, so the theoretical long-run value may not be practically meaningful
Volatility prediction for Wednesday, June 10th, 2026
1 Day
0.84%
decreased by 0.02%
1 Week
0.84%
decreased by 0.02%
1 Month
0.84%
decreased by 0.02%
Analysis last updated: Tuesday, June 9, 2026 at 09:23 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
| param | t-stat | |
|---|---|---|
| 0.0000 | 0.00 | |
| 0.0489 | 9.09 | |
| 0.9615 | 554.16 | |
| -0.0207 | -3.02 |
Estimation Period:
Jan 11, 2007 to Jun 5, 2026
Jan 11, 2007 to Jun 5, 2026
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