Russell 2000 Index Spline-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Monday, June 15th, 2026
1 Day
27.36%
decreased by 1.19%
1 Week
27.61%
decreased by 0.94%
1 Month
28.38%
decreased by 0.17%
Analysis last updated: Saturday, June 13, 2026 at 12:42 AM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
| param | t-stat | |
|---|---|---|
| 0.7360 | 6.06 | |
| 0.1077 | 10.61 | |
| 0.8593 | 75.65 | |
| 0.0230 | 3.94 | |
| -0.0378 | -4.66 | |
| 0.0185 | 3.19 | |
| 0.0050 | 0.60 |
Estimation Period:
Jan 1, 1990 to Jun 12, 2026
Jan 1, 1990 to Jun 12, 2026
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