Russell Midcap Index Spline-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Thursday, June 4th, 2026
1 Day
13.40%
decreased by 0.37%
1 Week
14.11%
increased by 0.34%
1 Month
16.30%
increased by 2.53%
Analysis last updated: Friday, June 5, 2026 at 08:19 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
| param | t-stat | |
|---|---|---|
| 0.7349 | 7.52 | |
| 0.1175 | 9.52 | |
| 0.8592 | 66.05 | |
| -0.0115 | -2.46 | |
| 0.0257 | 2.81 |
Estimation Period:
Mar 1, 2004 to Apr 2, 2026
Mar 1, 2004 to Apr 2, 2026
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