Morgan Stanley Spline-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Monday, June 15th, 2026
1 Day
31.06%
decreased by 1.13%
1 Week
31.13%
decreased by 1.06%
1 Month
31.37%
decreased by 0.82%
Analysis last updated: Saturday, June 13, 2026 at 12:17 AM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
| param | t-stat | |
|---|---|---|
| 1.2348 | 5.09 | |
| 0.0776 | 8.94 | |
| 0.8940 | 84.76 | |
| 0.1350 | 4.40 | |
| -0.2566 | -6.03 | |
| 0.2220 | 9.27 | |
| -0.1666 | -6.91 | |
| 0.1008 | 3.72 | |
| -0.0391 | -1.28 | |
| -0.0031 | -0.07 |
Estimation Period:
Feb 23, 1993 to Jun 12, 2026
Feb 23, 1993 to Jun 12, 2026
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