Morgan Stanley Zero Slope Spline-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Monday, June 15th, 2026
1 Day
31.41%
decreased by 1.13%
1 Week
31.53%
decreased by 1.01%
1 Month
31.93%
decreased by 0.61%
Analysis last updated: Saturday, June 13, 2026 at 12:18 AM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
| param | t-stat | |
|---|---|---|
| 1.2132 | 5.01 | |
| 0.0776 | 8.95 | |
| 0.8942 | 85.02 | |
| 0.1300 | 4.22 | |
| -0.2486 | -5.82 | |
| 0.2167 | 9.01 | |
| -0.1626 | -6.74 | |
| 0.0986 | 3.71 | |
| -0.0399 | -1.48 | |
| 0.0041 | 0.20 |
Estimation Period:
Feb 23, 1993 to Jun 12, 2026
Feb 23, 1993 to Jun 12, 2026
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