Indian Rupee Zero Slope Spline-GARCH Volatility Analysis
High-persistence model: shocks decay very slowly, so the theoretical long-run value may not be practically meaningful
Volatility prediction for Monday, June 15th, 2026
1 Day
5.10%
increased by 0.26%
1 Week
5.11%
increased by 0.27%
1 Month
5.17%
increased by 0.33%
Analysis last updated: Friday, June 12, 2026 at 08:14 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
| param | t-stat | |
|---|---|---|
| 0.6771 | 0.03 | |
| 0.1588 | 0.00 | |
| 0.8411 | 0.01 | |
| 0.0003 | 0.00 | |
| -0.1165 | 0.00 | |
| 0.1245 | 0.00 | |
| 0.0063 | 0.00 | |
| -0.0179 | 0.00 | |
| -0.0329 | -0.02 | |
| 0.0550 | 0.02 | |
| 0.0037 | 0.02 | |
| -0.0901 | -0.05 | |
| 0.1177 | 0.07 |
Estimation Period:
Jul 4, 1991 to Jun 12, 2026
Jul 4, 1991 to Jun 12, 2026
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