Colombian Peso GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis
High-persistence model: shocks decay very slowly, so the theoretical long-run value may not be practically meaningful
Volatility prediction for Monday, June 15th, 2026
1 Day
15.75%
decreased by 0.12%
1 Week
15.77%
decreased by 0.10%
1 Month
15.84%
decreased by 0.03%
Analysis last updated: Friday, June 12, 2026 at 08:12 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
| param | t-stat | |
|---|---|---|
| 0.0011 | 18.90 | |
| 0.0773 | 26.93 | |
| 0.9359 | 759.04 | |
| -0.0264 | -6.20 |
Estimation Period:
Aug 20, 1992 to Jun 12, 2026
Aug 20, 1992 to Jun 12, 2026
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