BAE Systems PLC Spline-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility Prediction for Tuesday, February 17th, 2026:35.12% (+2.61%)
Parameter Estimates
| param | t-stat | |
|---|---|---|
| 0.6573 | 5.61 | |
| 0.1139 | 8.36 | |
| 0.8293 | 46.39 | |
| -0.1353 | -3.76 | |
| 0.2365 | 4.60 | |
| -0.1939 | -6.82 | |
| 0.1481 | 6.11 | |
| -0.0920 | -4.24 | |
| 0.0690 | 2.89 | |
| -0.0472 | -1.53 | |
| 0.0621 | 1.28 |
Estimation Period:
Jan 1, 1990 to Feb 13, 2026
Jan 1, 1990 to Feb 13, 2026
News Impact Curve
Volatility Forecasts
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