S&P/ASX 200 Spline-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility Prediction for Wednesday, February 18th, 2026:15.37% (-1.01%)
Parameter Estimates
| param | t-stat | |
|---|---|---|
| 0.8960 | 7.98 | |
| 0.0986 | 8.70 | |
| 0.8615 | 64.06 | |
| 0.0153 | 0.68 | |
| -0.0567 | -1.67 | |
| 0.1136 | 5.16 | |
| -0.1449 | -6.82 | |
| 0.1067 | 4.43 | |
| -0.0300 | -1.27 | |
| -0.0371 | -1.15 |
Estimation Period:
May 29, 1992 to Feb 13, 2026
May 29, 1992 to Feb 13, 2026
News Impact Curve
Volatility Forecasts
Other Spline-GARCH Analyses on Equity Indices