CITIC Ltd Zero Slope Spline-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility Prediction for Friday, February 20th, 2026:32.29% (-0.82%)
Parameter Estimates
| param | t-stat | |
|---|---|---|
| 0.7950 | 5.71 | |
| 0.1081 | 9.75 | |
| 0.8522 | 64.83 | |
| -0.1598 | -3.22 | |
| 0.2999 | 3.80 | |
| -0.2519 | -3.65 | |
| 0.1079 | 1.53 | |
| 0.1081 | 1.80 | |
| -0.1917 | -3.40 | |
| 0.0726 | 1.08 | |
| 0.0866 | 1.34 | |
| -0.0846 | -1.43 | |
| -0.0064 | -0.14 |
Estimation Period:
Jan 1, 1990 to Feb 16, 2026
Jan 1, 1990 to Feb 16, 2026
News Impact Curve
Volatility Forecasts
Other Zero Slope Spline-GARCH Analyses on International Equities